SecondsOut breaks down the matchup and figures out who will win
By: Mike Sloan (firstname.lastname@example.org): Cinco de Mayo weekend is always the best weekend of the year because of two things: The Kentucky Derby and the biggest boxing event of the year (depending on what the September card will be). What’s even better is that the boxing event is always in Las Vegas and it always features at least one of the biggest stars in the entire sport.
This time around, it’s the world’s greatest boxer pound-for-pound, Floyd Mayweather Jr., taking on the tough-as-nails and extremely skilled Robert Guerrero. No, it’s not the dream matchup between Mayweather and Manny Pacquiao or even “Canelo” Alvarez, but for what it’s worth, Guerrero will suffice. The reason is because “The Ghost” is a tremendous fighter in his own right, a man who has been in or around the top ten P4P list for years.
For your enjoyment, SecondsOut.com has painstakingly combed through the Mayweather-Guerrero matchup, broke down each man’s skillsets in the most important categories of any fight, and figured out exactly what will happen. So if you want to know who will win the fight before it even happens, continue reading:
Punching power: All Mayweather does is run around the ring. He never fights back, he never punches. All he does is run away from his opponents. Or something nonsensical along those lines. The fact of the matter is that while Floyd doesn’t have the crushing power of, say, Lucas Matthysse or Nonito Donaire, he can flat-out crack. He flatted Ricky Hatton with basically one punch; removed a dopey and unsuspecting Victor Ortiz from consciousness; badly floored and rocked Juan Manuel Marquez; hurt Zab Judah, etc. No he’s not a huge puncher but if he tags you cleanly, you’re going to feel it and if you don’t watch yourself, Floyd will take you out. Guerrero has similar power, but since his hands aren’t as fast as Mayweather’s and considering he’s nowhere near as accurate, his power is a few notches below Money’s by default. Mayweather has stopped five of his last twelve opponents, so has Guerrero. The difference is that Guerrero hasn’t stopped anybody in over three years. Advantage: Mayweather.
Speed: Guerrero has fast hands. Mayweather has blurry hands. You can see a lot of Guerrero’s punches before they land. You rarely see Floyd’s. And Mayweather is much more precise. This one is kind of unfair. Advantage: Mayweather
Size: They are the same height, though Mayweather is the naturally larger man. Plus Mayweather has a two-inch reach advantage. This category is usually a vapid waste of time anyway. Advantage: Push
Age factor: This is really the only category that could come into play as an advantage for Guerrero. He’s six years younger than Mayweather and Mayweather has been getting hit a little more in his recent fights than ever before. If Mayweather somehow turns old and his reflexes aren’t what they used to be, then Guerrero has a shot at making this fight really interesting. Youth and a desire to prove everybody wrong could be huge. Advantage: Guerrero
Chin: It’s hard to tell if Floyd is chinny because he rarely ever gets tagged cleanly. Yes, he was stunned a bit by Judah and Shane Mosley had him in tremendous peril, but those are two future Hall of Fame fighters who pack considerable power in their fists. Joel Casamayor knocked Guerrero down when they fought, but Robert has never shown any indication that his jaw is made out of a light bulb. Since Mayweather has much better defense and Guerrero tends to get hit with too many punches throughout the course of a long fight, I’d put my money on Mayweather being able to stay on his feet longer than the Ghost. Advantage: Mayweather
Defense: This one is not a contest. Advantage: Mayweather
Experience: Also another no-contest. Though he’s been heavily criticized over the years for not fighting the absolute best of the best (blame the promoters more than anything), Mayweather has tackled some all-time greats: Diego Corrales, Marquez, Oscar de la Hoya, Hatton, Mosley, Judah, Jose Luis Castillo (twice), Genaro Hernandez, Arturo Gatti, Angel Manfredy, Miguel Cotto. Regardless if some of them were past their primes – name one fighter who has only fought elite guys at their physical peaks – Mayweather has laid them all to rest. Guerrero has locked horns with the likes of Casamayor, Selcuk Aydin, Michael Katsidis, Orlando Salido and Vicente Esobedo. No comparison. Also, Mayweather has been on the biggest stage under the brightest lights for about a decade; the same cannot be said about Guerrero. Advantage: Mayweather