SecondOut’s team of writers put their reputations on the line to predict the outcome of two of this weekend’s big fight when Austin Trout defends his WBA light middleweight title against Puerto Rican boxing legend Miguel Cotto.
I am fully aware that every one of SecondsOut writers are going with Cotto’s experience to win the day against a pretty much untested Trout, apart from Jason Pribilla, who envisages an even fight. But I feel Trout is the type of fighter that is ready to step up to the plate and perform on the big stage. I think the timing is right now. He’s younger, fresher and still very hungry for success whereas, Cotto has seen it, done it and had many very hard fights. Cotto’s experience will test Trout to the limit but I just feel Trout has the mentality to match Cotto head on and nick a very tight split decision after a few scary moments.
Trout pts 12
Editor In Chief
Being from New Mexico and aware of Trouts talents , he can surprise Cotto with his skills and speed. Although I haven’t seen him take a good shot yet nor face someone who will put the pressure on him like Cotto will. Trout will box early trying to frustrate Cotto but Cottos attack will slow Trout down and possibly end the fight in the later rounds. Plus it’s Hard to beat Cotto in the raucous pro Cotto crowd
Cotto tko 11
"Miguel Cotto still looks to have a good bit left in the tank. He showed some spark in his performance against Mayweather. Austin Trout is a good boxer and is pretty slick out of his southpaw stance. I think his best chance at winning this fight will be to box Cotto from the outside and force Cotto to circle into his power side. Cotto seems to prefer circling to his left, with occasional movement to his right. If Trout can force him to move right for a majority of the fight, I think it can take Cotto out of his comfort zone enough to win some rounds. Cotto has a nice combination of speed and power and as the fight progresses I think he’ll be able to use his skills to either out box or fight in a phone booth with success, despite Trout’s potential."
Cotto W Late TKO or Pts 12
A lot of fans are taking Austin Trout in this one and it’s not a bad call. Miguel Cotto is aging and he’s had a long, tough career at the top. However, Trout has been spoon-fed up until this point and I have to wonder if Trout has the depth to sustain a successful game-plan all night long. I expect Trout to assume the role of the traditional boxer and attempt to use his height and reach to fight a safety first fight at a distance. However, Cotto has seen every style imaginable in the ring and, usually, he found a way to win. I expect to see Cotto working the body more as he did in his youth and really taking it to Trout to crowd him with non-stop pressure. This will help the Puerto Rican star to throw Trout off his game and make him fight a more reactionary fight as opposed to a calculated one. Trout is going to see new waters in this bout regardless of what happens. I think he’ll jump out to an early lead and put a scare into the Cotto faithful, but he’ll reach a breaking point where he has to sink or swim and this is when I think Cotto will drown him with his experience. We haven’t seen Trout’s chin tested by a world class opponent as of yet. I think we will see the younger man battered toward the end and dropped before rising to lose his first professional bout by unanimous decision. Cotto UD
Cotto pts 12
Trout has all the tools and mental makeup to beat Cotto. His speed and jab are world class and he moves a lot - keeping a proper distance from long range. However, his southpaw stance shouldn’t be much of a problem for Cotto as lefties have never really bothered Miguel. Cotto is on the down slope of a brilliant career and one would think he’s there to be taken. He also swells up and is prone to cuts at this stage of his career. He will have to fight aggressively and cut Trout down by concentrating on the body early and keeping him pinned against the ropes. It’s a tough assignment but going back and forth on this one I keep thinking that Cotto, one of the best and most exciting fighters of his era, still has enough to pull it out. It wouldn’t surprise me if Trout wins by decision but Cotto excels at Madision Square Garden and there’s a possibility Trout may even freeze under the lights of his first truly big moment. I think Cotto gets to him late after losing several early rounds of a fast paced bout.
Cotto TKO 11
Saturday. I am a big Cotto supporter. When everyone said he was shot I didn’t agree. His skills are there, and he hits hard enough to get respect. Trout is good and his day will come, but not this Saturday.
New York City
Despite losing, Cotto gave a brave and spirited performance last time out against P4P number 1 Floyd Mayweather, taking the best that Floyd could muster in the process. It is doubtful that Trout, although the naturally bigger man, has the power to hurt Miguel. Cotto has huge advantages in big fight experience and loves to fight in NYC and I feel he will drag Trout into a war of attrition and overhaul an early round deficit to come through on points. Cotto via UD
Cotto pts 12
Not much is known about Austin Trout other than that he is a solid boxer all around. He hasn’t shown to be particularly great at any one thing but he can control the pace and win rounds. Though he is the champion in this fight, he hasn’t faced anyone near the caliber or Cotto, meaning this is his time to prove he can be great. He chose quite the opponent to do that against, can’t fault him for that. Cotto isn’t as old as we thought, and seems to have been revived working under Pedro Luis Diaz. It’s hard not to pick Cotto in this fight, we know what he can do, and it’s only failed against the two best current fighters in the sport (If you don’t count his controversial loss against Margarito). Cotto will have to overcome Trout’s lengthy height advantage, but I see him outlanding Trout with accurate punching and possibly showing a weakness in him with some revitalized vicious body punching.
Cotto TKO 10
Jose Santana Jr.
After coming up short in his spirited effort against Floyd Mayweather, Miguel Cotto has been firmly implanted as the "RC Cola" to Mayweather’s "Coke" and Pacquiao’s "Pepsi". Meaning, Cotto would no longer have to be the B-side on a promotion unless he chose to again face Floyd or Manny. And if he chose Pacquiao, he would do so on his terms, and not have to compete below the junior middleweight limit. Cotto surprised many by choosing the unknown Trout as his opponent. Many see the fight as a way for Cotto to collect a belt and set himself up for another mega-fight, most likely against Canelo Alvarez. However, I see his selection as the ultimate trap fight. He’s taking on a boxer who has yet to taste defeat. Trout also proved against Delvin Rodriguez that he won’t be baited into a brawl if he could comfortably box from the outside. I also feel that Cotto will have a difficult time getting motivated for this fight. Even though he’ll be at his adopted home, Madison Square Garden, the atmosphere will fail to match the weigh-in of his last visit against Antonio Margarito. That being said, Cotto will eventually adapt and begin to cut off the ring. A few body shots to the ribs and back will eventually slow Trout down. It will then come down to a race against the clock. Will Cotto have enough time to hurt and possibly stop Trout? Will Trout get enough credit on the scorecards for his early work? It will come down to the scorecards, which will read that the fight was even.
Trout may be undefeated and a world champion but his credentials pale in comparison to Cotto’s who is light years ahead in terms of experience. The southpaw stance of Trout may trouble the Puerto Rican for a spell but Cotto, a diligent trainer, is adaptable and will have had plenty of lefty sparring. I think Trout will be competitive in the first half and sucked dry in the second half, as the former champion’s pressure and the Madison Square Garden crowd prove too hot to handle.
Cotto pts 12
I can see a scenario for an upset with Trout being the younger, a bit bigger, faster, hungrier fighter, and a southpaw to boot. Plus I don’t know whether Cotto really has his heart in the game anymore. Having said all that. Cotto has perhaps the best resume in boxing over the past 9 years, Randall Bailey, Chop Chop Corely, Paulie Malignaggi, Zab Judah, Antonio Margarito, Joshua Clottey, Manny Pacquiao, Floyd Mayweather, shall I continue. That and the fact of him fighting on his adopted home turf of Madison Square Garden where he is 7-0 make me feel he will make it 8-0 with a decision win over Trout.
Cotto pts 12
James Smith aka Smitty Host
IN THIS CORNER TV
December 1, 2012