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25 JUNE 2017

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SecondsOut Team Picks: Alvarez Vs Chavez Jr


Mexican rivals Saul Alvarez and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr clash on Saturday night at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada and SecondsOut’s writers once again put their reputations on the line to predict the outcome of arguably the biggest all Mexican clash of recent years.

 

 

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From the start, I have been concerned about Golden Boy’s praise for this match-up as leading to a potential trilogy. There is money in that, but does anyone outside of GBP really believe this?

 

Chavez is a talented fighter, but his upbringing spoiled him and led to a huge waste in talent. I expect his size to save him in this fight. I do not think Canelo will be able to hurt him enough to drop or stop him. However, Canelo may have a rough patch if he elects to go toe to toe in a phone booth. Chavez is a good body puncher when he commits to it, but we have yet to see Junior really rise to the occasion since his bout with Andy Lee. Canelo will be able to take advantage of his rival’s porous defense with the jab and right hand to win nearly every round en route to a unanimous decision. No rematch necessary outside of some funny scores, which I expect to be closer than the real action. Alavrez’ left hook to the body is strong, but it might not be a pbig part of his game plan for this fight. Alvarez Majority Decision .

 

Alvarez pts 12

Derek Bonnett

Oxford, Connecticut

USA

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"Both fighters have the style to make this an exciting scrap. Canelo is the better skilled of the two and has more to offer offensively. Chavez Jr. can bang and has the toughness to compete and make this a close fight. I believe it will go the distance with Canelo overcoming the pressure of Chavez Jr and scoring points in the process."

 

Alvarez W Pts 12

Derek Gionta

Pittsburgh, PA

USA

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I’m not a big fan of catchweight fights, but I have to admit this fight has sparked my interest. Chavez Jr. has had an up and down career, considered spoiled, not disciplined or committed by many. Some of it may, or may not be true. In his defense, he didn’t have a choice growing up with a famous father and a boxing legend. It’s been reported that Chavez Jr. is focused and ready for this fight, which he should be if true. So what will Chavez Jr. need to do to win this fight? He will need to attack Canelo aggressively, making use of body shots and keep constantly moving. He is bigger and has the reach advantage, but this will not serve him in this battle. Canelo is patient, he is a very strategic forward moving fighter who uses the ring to his advantage, expect an inside fight for the most part. This fight could go either way, it depends on who sets the tone early and is prepared to go the distance. I see this fight going the distance, Canelo winning most of the rounds by making adjustments.

 

Alvarez w pts 12

Ron Valderrama

Phoenix, Arizona

USA

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It was not very long ago that Canelo and Chavez Jr. were on the same career scope. Now one fighter is in the conversation as being the sport’s biggest ticket seller, and the other is mentioned as one of boxing’s biggest disappointments.

 

There is no question that Golden Boy Promotions see Chavez Jr. as little risk to wobble the Canelo cart that seems on its way to a September showdown with David Lemieux. It has been years since Chavez fought anywhere near 164 lbs.., and even if this humbled/desperate version of JCC Jr. makes weight, he will have been de-fanged on his way to the scale. Canelo has underrated speed. He works the body as well as anyone in the sport, and his stamina issues seem to be behind him. Although he will be fighting a naturally bigger man, I feel that he will simply see Chavez Jr. as a bigger target for him to make his case that he is the most exciting fighter near the 160 lb. middleweight division.

 

Alvarez TKO7

Jason Pribila

Bethlehem, USA

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don’t think this bout is the fight for Mexico, but more so for one man to get the other out of the way. The idea of the two of them facing off has been floating around for well over five years now. It’s been interesting to see how they have taken different directions with their lives and careers. Canelo has faced much better opposition and seems to have learned along the way.

 

Contrast that with Chavez, who seems to have been given chance after chance for all of the slip-ups that he has had. It remains to be seen if his new trainer can really make a difference, at least to the point that he made a tiger change its stripes.

 

The weight issue for Chavez may easily hinder him again. He will try to dig to the body of Canelo early in an effort to set up hooks and straight rights. Alvarez will easily weather the storm and adjust quickly. It’s hard for me to see this contest going into the double digits. Canelo is going to outwork Julio with his speed and lateral movement. A frustrated Chavez will be led into making mistakes and leaving openings for Canelo to capitalize.

 

Alvarez TKO 7

Marc Livitz

Austin, Texas.

USA

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Beat Canelo? Who’s kidding here? Maybe if he fights Joshua! Just a money fight here. Chavez earns his purse and gets beat up.

 

Alvarez w pts 12

  1. R. Jowett

Norisstown

PA

USA

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I’m hoping, like everybody else, that this one catches fire and we are treated to another all Mexican war.

 

I think for that to happen depends a lot upon what we get from Chavez Jnr. Has he made weight correctly? Is his mind as focused as his pre-fight comments suggest?

 

Canelo is a very good fighter, he finds range very well and his shot selection is underrated, but at times he can be flat footed and I question whether he can fight at the kind of high intensity that Chavez could force if he is completely on his game. Chavez was totally out boxed by Sergio Martinez for 11 rounds but he walked through that storm and very nearly closed the show in the 12th, is Alvarez ready for that kind of relentless pressure?

 

Chavez is going to be naturally bigger, something Canelo hasn’t faced before, and he isn’t likely to fall to one punch like Amir Khan or James Kirkland, due to his granite chin. Also, like Khan, I think Chavez will have the slight edge in speed and we saw the issues that has caused Alvarez in quite a few of his previous fights. Both men attack the body well and carry legitimate power but I think Canelo’s overall better skills will allow him to take a decision after surviving a few hairy moments. This fight could end up being much more intriguing on paper than in reality, the majority of my prediction is based upon a version of Chavez Jnr that has rarely been seen.

 

Alvarez pts 12

Steve Bateson

Kirkby Lonsdale,

England

 

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Alvarez = 7

Chavez Jr= 0

Draw= 0




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