Vasiliy Lomachenko to stop Luke Campbell in mid-to-late rounds - punch stats analysis

Ahead of their big fight on Saturday night, data suggests that Ukrainian fighter Vasiliy Lomachenko may have the upper hand in the second half of his fight against Luke Campbell.

This is the verdict from our friends at JD Sports who have used Compubox stats to analyse the showdown. See the breakdown of this in the image above.

Expect ‘Loma’ to hold out until later in the fight before he comes in his own as his most dominant round over his last six matches has been the eighth - where he throws a whopping 87 punches and lands 35 - which accounts for 40%. The Ukrainian has also managed more later finishes than Campbell, with two in both rounds nine and ten.

**Ranking the Loma vs Campbell card fight by fight**

In addition to this, with data from their last six fights, Vasyl Lomachenko has a 12% better punch land rate than Luke Campbell, with the Ukrainian averaging 22 lands a fight compared to Campbell’s 13.

Although, it would appear that Lomachenko is at his most exposed in round 10, getting hit on average a total of 18 times – five times more than Campbell’s most vulnerable round – although only two of his last six opponents have managed to get to that stage in the fight.

However, in spite of this, Campbell may have the upper hand in the first half of the fight. The Yorkshireman has three KOs in round two and four KOs in round five – added to the fact that his most recent prolific round is in the fourth, where he averages 70 punches thrown with 17 of them hitting their target.

Campbell does appear vulnerable in this section of the fight, however, his most susceptible round recently has been the fifth where, on average, he has been hit 12 times.